{"id":16218,"date":"2025-11-07T10:22:03","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T02:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/globalhealth.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/news\/%e5%85%b4%e6%b3%89%e8%ae%b2%e5%9d%9b%e5%9b%9e%e9%a1%be%e4%b8%a8%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e4%b8%8e%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%81%a5%e5%ba%b7%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5\/"},"modified":"2025-12-12T10:24:52","modified_gmt":"2025-12-12T02:24:52","slug":"symposium-recap%e4%b8%a8the-future-of-world-population-and-global-health","status":"publish","type":"gh_news","link":"https:\/\/globalhealth.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/zh-hans\/news\/symposium-recap%e4%b8%a8the-future-of-world-population-and-global-health\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5174\u6cc9\u8bb2\u575b\u56de\u987e\u4e28\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u672a\u6765"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>10\u670828\u65e5\uff0c\u7531\u6606\u5c71\u675c\u514b\u5927\u5b66\u5168\u7403\u5065\u5eb7\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3e\u529e\u7684\u7b2c203\u573a\u5174\u6cc9\u8bb2\u575b\u5706\u6ee1\u4e3e\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u672c\u6b21\u8bb2\u575b\u4ee5\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u672a\u6765\uff1a\u8d8b\u52bf\u5206\u5316\u3001\u7ade\u4e89\u53d9\u4e8b\u53ca\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u201d 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Quelch\u4e3a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6210\u7acb80\u5468\u5e74\u7279\u522b\u5e86\u795d\u73af\u8282\u53d1\u8868\u5f00\u573a\u81f4\u8f9e\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5408\u4f5c\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u5065\u5eb7\u9886\u57df\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u8be5\u73af\u8282\u4e0a\uff0cJohn Quelch\u8fd8\u4e3aJohn Wilmoth\u6559\u6388\u9001\u4e0a\u4e86\u6606\u5c71\u675c\u514b\u5927\u5b66\u5c0f\u718a\u73a9\u5076\uff0c\u6b22\u8fceWilmoth\u6559\u6388\u7684\u5230\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1620\" src=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093051\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16187\" style=\"width:408px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093051\/image.png 1080w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093051\/image-267x400.png 267w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093051\/image-768x1152.png 768w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093051\/image-1024x1536.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>John Quelch\u53d1\u8868\u5f00\u573a\u81f4\u8f9e<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"4096\" height=\"2731\" src=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093949\/b5016b6d803b9052934fb187c8a582e5-4096x2731.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16191\" style=\"width:664px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093949\/b5016b6d803b9052934fb187c8a582e5-4096x2731.jpg 4096w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093949\/b5016b6d803b9052934fb187c8a582e5-400x267.jpg 400w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093949\/b5016b6d803b9052934fb187c8a582e5-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093949\/b5016b6d803b9052934fb187c8a582e5-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12093949\/b5016b6d803b9052934fb187c8a582e5-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4096px) 100vw, 4096px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>John Quelch\uff08\u5de6\uff09\u4e0eJohn Wilmoth\uff08\u53f3\uff09\u5408\u5f71<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p>John Wilmoth\u6559\u6388\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e3b\u65e8\u6f14\u8bb2\u5609\u5bbe\uff0c\u4ece\u4e94\u5927\u7ef4\u5ea6\u7cfb\u7edf\u89e3\u6790\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u5065\u5eb7\u9886\u57df\u7684\u73b0\u72b6\u4e0e\u672a\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4ed6\u9996\u5148\u56de\u987e\u4e86\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5386\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e861946\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u53ca\u4eba\u53e3\u53f8\u7684\u6210\u7acb\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e09\u6b21\u5173\u952e\u56fd\u9645\u4eba\u53e3\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u6f14\u8fdb\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c1994\u5e74\u5728\u5f00\u7f57\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u5927\u4f1a\uff08ICPD\uff09\u5c06\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u3001\u751f\u6b96\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u5973\u6027\u8d4b\u6743\u7b49\u8bae\u9898\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u6cbb\u7406\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1080\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094150\/image-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16193\" style=\"width:664px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094150\/image-2.png 1080w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094150\/image-2-400x267.png 400w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094150\/image-2-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><section><em>John Wilmoth\u8fdb\u884c\u4e3b\u65e8\u6f14\u8bb2<\/em>&#13;\n&#13;\n<\/section><section><section>\u00a0&#13;\n&#13;\n<\/section><\/section><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p>\u5728\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u8d8b\u52bf\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\uff0cJohn 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Wilmoth\u6559\u6388\u53c2\u4e0e\u5706\u684c\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e09\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u56f4\u7ed5\u56fd\u9645\u4eba\u53e3\u6cbb\u7406\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5065\u5eb7\u5b9e\u8df5\u5c55\u5f00\u6df1\u5ea6\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff0c\u5e76\u56de\u7b54\u5728\u573a\u89c2\u4f17\u7684\u63d0\u95ee\u3002<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1080\" height=\"1620\" src=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094342\/image-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16195\" style=\"width:408px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094342\/image-3.png 1080w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094342\/image-3-267x400.png 267w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094342\/image-3-768x1152.png 768w, https:\/\/newstatic.dukekunshan.edu.cn\/globalhealth\/2025\/12\/12094342\/image-3-1024x1536.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u848b\u8012\u6587\u6559\u6388\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e0a\u6d77\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p>\u848b\u8012\u6587\u6559\u6388\u9996\u5148\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u4e0a\u6d77\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e0e\u7814\u7a76\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u805a\u7126\u4e9a\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u4e0e\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7814\u7a76\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u8be5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u95f4\u4f9d\u6258\u5168\u7403\u653f\u7b56\u91cf\u5316\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6df1\u8015\u4e9a\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u5e94\u5bf9\u3001\u4eba\u7c7b\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\u3001\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u53ca\u56fd\u9645\u79fb\u6c11\u7b49\u524d\u6cbf\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u4e3a\u533a\u57df\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u5065\u5eb7\u9886\u57df\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u5b66\u672f\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u9488\u5bf9\u89c2\u4f17\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u653f\u5e9c\u4eba\u53e3\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u70ed\u70b9\u95ee\u9898\uff0cJohn Wilmoth 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